george tziralis thought log

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Jan
8th

Tue

A really hot year for prediction markets has just started

After the launch of Wall Street Journal’s Political Market (powered by intrade, coverage here and here) and CNN’s Political Market (powered by inkling), McCluskey and Hanson also debuted Presidential Decision Markets.

Today, Cowgill, Wolfers and Zitzewitz just released a full-fledged draft studying markets at Google, which is absolutely exceptional, definitely the most massive enterprise prediction markets application and study ever conducted! (coverage by the NY Times here.) I may return to comment further on this soon.

All of these in just 7 days. Who’s next? ;-)

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Dec
31st

Mon

Happy New Year and my best wishes to you all for 2008!

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Dec
25th

Tue

My brother, 14, has a blog :)

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Merry Christmas everyone! A thought-provoking post via Overcoming Bias.

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Dec
15th

Sat

Prediction markets go mainstream, step by step

Yahoo launches US elections political dashboard, covering side-by-side poll results, search trends, current prediction market prices and money raised for each candidate.

via techcrunch

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Dec
14th

Fri

Freakonomicsed!

I’m just happy to report that our research was linked by NYT’s Freakonomics :)

Now, this is a great motivation to work even harder…

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Dec
13th

Thu

With markets, “trial and error” works, because error gets killed off. With politics, error often survives.

— Arnold Kling

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Dec
12th

Wed

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Tool for Supply Chain Management (pdf, in greek) An older paper of mine, now published in the monthly Bulletin of the Hellenic Association of Mechanical and Electrical Engineers

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Dec
7th

Fri

1837-2007: 170 years NTUA

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Dec
4th

Tue

Well, thank you Chris :)

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